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WORD COUNT 606                                                                                                  OCTOBER 20, 2004

ABORTIONS – ON THE RISE UNDER BUSH – by Glen Harold Stassen and Gary Krane 

Our family is pro-life, not surprising for a Christian ethicist. We have our son David to show for it, the joy of our lives, but legally blind and severely handicapped. We went ahead with his pregnancy even though my wife caught rubella in her eighth week. 

Others who profess to be pro-life have less to show. Take George W. Bush. An analysis of the somewhat sparse data from his presidency has uncovered some disturbing and counterintuitive trends.  

In the 1990s, the decade before Mr. Bush became president, abortions were decreasing in the United States. According to Guttmacher Institute data, the number per year fell from 1,610,000 to 1,330,000. That is a decline of 17.4 percent over the decade, or an average of 1.7 percent per year.  

With the arrival of Mr. Bush in 2001, one would expect the abortion rate to continue its consistent course downward, if not plunge. Instead, the opposite happened. 

Four states have conveniently posted several years of recent statistics, from around 2000 through 2003. Here's what happened to their abortion rates: Kentucky's increased by 3.2 percent, Pennsylvania's increased by 1.9 percent (1999 to 2002, with 2003 not yet available), Michigan's increased by 11.3 percent, and Colorado's rates skyrocketed 111 percent. 

Twelve other states reported statistics allowing comparison of abortion rates in 2001 and 2002. Here's what happened to them. Seven saw a percentage increase: Arizona (+26.4), Idaho (+13.9), Illinois (+0.9), Missouri (+2.5), South Dakota (+2.1), Texas (+3.0), and Wisconsin (+0.6). Five states saw a decrease: Alabama (-9.8), Florida (-0.7), Minnesota (-4.4), Ohio (-4.4), and Washington (-2.1). 

In total numbers, 7,869 more abortions were performed in these sixteen states during George W. Bush's second year in office than previously. If this trend reflects our nation, 24,000 more abortions were performed during George W. Bush's second year in office than the year before. Had the previous trends continued, 28,000 fewer abortions should have occurred each year in that time. All in all, at least 52,000 more abortions occurred in the United States in 2002 than expected from the earlier trends. And the figure is likely two to three times that for the entire period from 2000 to 2003.  

For anyone familiar with why most women have abortions, this should come as no surprise: 

1)       Two-thirds of women who have abortions cite "inability to afford a child" as their primary reason [Alan Guttmacher Institute (AGI)]. With record job losses under this presidency (the worst since Herbert Hoover), and a decrease in average real incomes, women have a harder time affording a child, and so do their male partners or husbands. 

2)       Others have lost their health coverage -- 5.2 million overall -- with women of childbearing age being over-represented. That means no hospital, no obstetrician, no pediatrician. Mothers think of such things when they decide whether to have an abortion. 

And if all this is not bad enough, as a result of the Mr. Bush’s anti-contraceptive family planning policies, and the consequent cutback in funding for condom distribution to African nations, this presidency has contributed to a situation where the average sub-Saharan African male now has only three condoms per year! According to AGI, these cutbacks have been responsible for at least 12 million more unintended pregnancies, and at least 6 million more abortions around the world. 

What does this tell us? Economic policy and abortion are not separate issues; they form one moral imperative. Rhetoric is hollow, mere tinkling brass, without healthcare, health insurance, jobs, childcare, and a living wage. Pro-life in deed, not merely in word, means we need a president who will do something about jobs and health insurance and support for prospective mothers. 

--

Glen Harold Stassen, PhD, is Lewis B. Smeads Professor of Christian Ethics at Fuller Theological Seminary and a statistical analyst. gstassen@fuller.edu -- Gary Krane, PhD, is an investigative journalist. coordinator@fairelections.us -- 415-845-7012. 

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